🗞️ NordFX Morning U...NORDFX Global님의 글

17 Feb 2026, 16:06 · Views 1,491

🗞️ NordFX Morning Update – 17 February 2026 Markets return from the US long weekend in a cautious mood, with risk appetite slightly deteriorating. 📉 US index futures are under pressure. Nasdaq 100 futures are down around 0.8%, S&P 500 futures lose about 0.4%, while Dow futures are slightly more resilient. Tech and AI-linked stocks remain sensitive as investors reassess sector valuations and longer-term earnings impact. 🌏 Asia trades mixed in thin conditions due to Lunar New Year holidays in China. Japan’s Nikkei is down roughly 0.9% after soft GDP data, while Australia’s ASX 200 adds around 0.2%, supported by strength in the materials sector. 🛢️ Oil holds steady ahead of US-Iran talks in Geneva. Brent is slightly softer while WTI shows mild gains, with traders balancing geopolitical risks and potential supply implications. 💱 FX volatility remains limited. The dollar index is hovering near 97, EUR/USD trades around 1.184–1.185, and USD/JPY stays above 153. The Japanese yen is modestly firmer after a solid government bond auction. 🥇 Gold is under renewed pressure, slipping below key levels and trading around the $4,900–4,950 area, while silver extends losses. 📅 Today’s focus: 🇦🇺 02:30 – RBA Minutes 🇷🇴 15:00 – Interest Rate Decision 🇨🇦 15:30 – CPI m/m and y/y Canadian inflation data may be the main volatility trigger of the day. Stay focused and trade wisely with NordFX! 🚀

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📊 NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: Quarter-End Flows - USD Funding, Gold, Oil and Crypto Before July Q2 closes out on Tuesday, June 30, and quarter-end rebalancing is adding extra noise to an already jumpy market. 💵 USD: New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but the tone is hawkish - May inflation hit 4.1%, and markets now price nearly three rate hikes this year. The Dollar Index hit a 13-month high above 101.80. EUR/USD sits near 1.14 despite the ECB's first hike since 2023 - the rate gap is just too wide. Expect short-term USD funding to tighten into Tuesday as dealers do their usual quarter-end repo shuffle, then ease into July. ✨ Gold: trading near $4,000-4,070/oz, down for a 4th straight week on the strong dollar, though still up over 20% year-on-year. Central banks bought near-record amounts in Q1, and almost 90% plan to keep adding - dips still look buyable medium-term. 🛢️ Oil: WTI near $68-69, Brent near $72, the lowest since before the Iran conflict, as Gulf supply and Hormuz shipping recover. Crude is down over 20% in four weeks, but the truce is fragile - fresh talks just shifted to Doha, and one bad headline could flip it fast. 📉 Crypto: Bitcoin near $59,000-60,000, the weakest since 2024, hit by ETF outflows and rotation into AI stocks. Sentiment is deep in "extreme fear" - crypto is trading like a risk asset, not a hedge. 🌍 This week: watch the ISM PMI, the US jobs report, and any Doha headline - that's what's moving gold, oil and the dollar together right now. Trade the volatility with tight spreads at NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

NORDFX Global

NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: After the Fed - Dollar, Gold and Oil into PCE Week The Fed just reset the playbook, and markets are still adjusting. Here's what matters this week. 👇 🏦 Fed: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair held rates at 3.50-3.75%, but the dot plot flipped hawkish, with the 2026 median jumping to 3.8%. A hike by September or October is now firmly on the table. 💵 Dollar: DXY is near 100.8, its strongest level in about a year, gaining broadly. EUR/USD sits near 1.15-1.16, USD/JPY is testing the 160-161 zone where BoJ intervention risk rises. 💴 🥇 Gold: Slid to ~$4,150 last week (third straight weekly loss) as the hawkish Fed and stronger dollar weighed on demand. Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900. It's since bounced to ~$4,190-4,200 on renewed US-Iran talk headlines. Stuck between Fed pressure and safe-haven bids. ⚖️ 🛢️ Oil: Brent near $80, WTI near $77-78. Crude dropped sharply on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, then bounced again after Friday's Geneva talks were cancelled and Monday brought reports of fresh progress. Headline-driven and choppy. 🌍 🇬🇧 Political wildcard: UK PM Starmer reportedly preparing an exit, with Andy Burnham tipped as successor. GBP/USD is trading defensively near 1.32-1.33. 🧩 📅 Next up: Thursday's PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. A hot print cements the hawkish pivot; a soft one could spark a fast dollar unwind. 📊 Levels: DXY 99.8-101.5 | EUR/USD 1.145-1.165 | GBP/USD 1.31-1.335 | USD/JPY 158.5-161.5 | XAU/USD 4,100-4,250 | Brent 78-83 Trade smart and stay close to the calendar this week. 🚀 👉 Open your account with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – June 22, 2026 🇯🇵 Asia: Nikkei breaks above 72,000 for the first time ever (~72,620), fresh record high on AI-investment euphoria. Hang Seng -1% at midday (touched a 1-year low intraday); Shanghai +0.2%, Shenzhen +0.3%. PBoC sets policy today. 🇺🇸 Wall St (last close, Thu): S&P +1.1%, Nasdaq +1.9%, Dow +0.1% – rebound after the Fed's hawkish hold (rates steady at 3.50–3.75%, 9 of 19 officials eye a 2026 hike). Markets were shut Friday for Juneteenth. 💶 FX: EUR/USD ~1.146, soft in early Asian trade as USD stays firm. USD/JPY ~161.5, yen near multi-decade lows despite the BoJ's June 15 hike to 1%. 🥇 Gold: ~$4,150/oz, near 3-week lows on dollar strength. 🛢️ Oil: Brent ~$80.3, WTI ~$77.5 – early gains pared after Qatar/Pakistan-mediated US-Iran talks reported progress on a 60-day roadmap. 📅 Today: PBoC decision, Canada CPI, ECB's Lagarde speaks. Ahead: flash PMIs Tue, US PCE Thu. Trade smart with NordFX! 📈

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🚀 CRYPTO NEWS OF THE WEEK — June 10-17 📈 Bitcoin clawed back from a sub-$60K dip to reclaim $65,000-$66,000 this week, as President Trump confirmed a US-Iran ceasefire deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Ethereum rebounded in tandem, climbing back above $1,800. 🐳 Spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a 13-day, $4.4B outflow streak with fresh inflows mid-week. Strategy kept buying too, adding 1,587 BTC (~$100M) to push its treasury past 846,000 BTC. Whales pulled over 11,000 BTC off exchanges, a sign of renewed accumulation. 🔥 Top weekly gainers: Bittensor (TAO) +28%, Zcash (ZEC) +21%, WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) +20%. 🏛️ New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ran his first FOMC meeting (June 16-17). Rates held at 3.50%-3.75%, as expected, with focus on the Fed's updated rate-path projections. 📜 US lawmakers introduced the Federal Cryptocurrency Theft Enforcement and Coordination Act on June 11, proposing a national task force to fight crypto hacks and fraud. 🕵️ Security researchers this week tied the $36M Humanity Protocol token theft to North Korean hackers, who used stolen developer credentials rather than a contract exploit. 🎉 Fun fact: A physical Bitcoin auction is going down this week, 120+ lots of rare Casascius and Lealana coins, a redeemed 10 BTC Casascius piece, and even the very first issue of Bitcoin Magazine. You really can collect Bitcoin like a baseball card. 🪙 🏦 Crypto Before the Fed: Why the Dot Plot Can Matter More Than the Rate Decision This week's rate hold was no surprise, almost everyone expected it. What actually moved markets was the Fed's "dot plot," the chart showing where officials see rates heading next. A steady median dot supports a "rates on hold through 2026" story crypto can rally on. Even one dot shifting higher signals a possible hike, a far bigger shock than any rate hold. The lesson for traders: the fine print often matters more than the headline. 📊

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🔔 NordFX Morning Update – June 24, 2026 🌏 Asia mixed: Kospi rebounding hard, up as much as 4% intraday (Samsung +10% at best on buyback report, SK Hynix higher) after Tuesday's record 10% rout; Nikkei choppy between flat and -0.9%; Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai flat; ASX 200 +0.1-0.3%. 📉 Wall St fell overnight – Nasdaq -2.2%, S&P 500 -1.4%, Dow -0.1% – on AI-chip jitters after reports SK Hynix is shifting an AI memory line to standard DRAM. 💵 Dollar near 14-month highs (DXY ~101.3) as September Fed hike odds top 65%. EUR/USD near 1-year lows around 1.1420. 🛢 Oil at 4-month lows – Brent $76.8, WTI $73.0 – as Iran sanctions relief eases supply fears. 🥇 Gold extends its slide to ~$4,080/oz on dollar strength and rate-hike bets. 📅 Today: US new home sales, Fed bank stress test results, Micron/Paychex/Jefferies earnings. Eyes on Thursday's PCE inflation data. 📈 Trade smart with NordFX!

NORDFX Global