📆 Economic Calendar...NORDFX Global님의 글

12 Nov 2025, 15:29 · Views 768

📆 Economic Calendar – 12 November 2025 Traders are watching a busy midweek session as key inflation and energy data hit the wires. 🇷🇴 At 09:00, Romania released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) Y/Y for October at 9.76 %, slightly below the 9.8 % forecast and 9.9 % previous. 🇷🇴 At 15:00, the National Bank of Romania is expected to keep the interest rate unchanged at 6.50 %. 🇺🇸 At 23:40, traders await the US Crude Oil Stocks (API) report, after last week’s 6.5 mn barrel build. 🌍 Market mood: Global sentiment remains cautiously optimistic amid easing concerns over the US government shutdown and renewed hopes for policy stability. The dollar steadied after recent declines, while oil is holding near $65 per barrel and gold trades close to recent highs. 💬 Takeaway: Romania’s softer inflation reading supports a steady-rate stance, while the oil inventory data later today could spark fresh volatility across commodities and energy-linked currencies. Stay alert and trade smart with NordFX! 🌐📊

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NordFX Forecast: Post Holiday Repricing – USD, Gold, Oil and Bitcoin After the NFP Shock 📊 The July 4 fireworks were still smoking when the jobs data lit a bigger one. June Nonfarm Payrolls printed just 57K versus 115K expected, with April and May slashed by a combined 74K. Unemployment "fell" to 4.2%, but only because discouraged workers left the labor force, participation dropped to 61.5%, the weakest since 2021. Wages held at 3.5% y/y. Underneath the headline: a labor market losing steam. 💵 USD – Rate hike odds for September tumbled toward 50% from near 67% pre print, and the dollar just logged its worst week since April. All eyes now on CPI (July 14) and the July 29 FOMC. Expect sharp, headline driven swings. 🥇 Gold – XAU/USD snapped back above $4,150 after four weekly losses in a row, riding the weaker dollar and fading hike bets. Still far from January's record near $5,600. $4,000 remains the line in the sand; a soft dollar keeps bulls in control for now. 🛢️ Oil – Brent near $72, WTI near $69, the calmest levels since before the US-Iran conflict began. Hormuz shipping is normalizing, Saudi and UAE exports are back close to pre war flows, and OPEC+ just added more barrels. But diplomacy is fragile, one bad headline could reignite the risk premium fast. ₿ Bitcoin – BTC sits in the low $60Ks, nowhere near 2025's $122K peak, as fragile risk appetite and Fed uncertainty keep buyers cautious. Views are split between a bounce toward $65-70K and another leg down if data disappoints again. 🔎 Bottom line: a cooling US economy, a shaky dollar, easing but unresolved geopolitical tension, markets are one headline away from their next big move. Trade this volatility with real conditions. Open an account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Not financial advice. Markets are volatile, trade responsibly.

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Economic Calendar July 27-31 2026

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📊 NordFX Insight: Industrial Production and Import Prices – How Real Economy Data Moves FX Two "boring" US reports are quietly steering the dollar right now. Here's why they deserve your attention. 🧵 🏭 Industrial Production Output from factories, mines and utilities has been choppy in 2026: down 0.5% in March, up 0.9% in April, then just +0.1% in May, missing forecasts. Capacity utilization sits around 76%, still below its long-run average. Verdict: the industrial economy isn't overheating. 💵 Import Prices Here trade policy hits the data directly. Import prices rose 1.9% in May after 2.0% in April, lifting the annual rate to 6.7%, the fastest in years. Air freight import costs alone jumped nearly 28% year over year. The cause: a wave of new tariffs, including a 10% global surcharge, Section 232 duties on steel, aluminum and copper, plus fresh Section 301 measures, has pushed the average US tariff rate above 9%. 📦 🌍 Why It Matters for FX Soft output plus rising import costs is a tricky mix for the Fed: not clean growth, not clean disinflation, more like stagflation-style pressure, and that keeps rate expectations volatile. Layer on today's backdrop: renewed US strikes on Iran, energy market jitters, and a new Fed chair steering policy, and you get a dollar that jumps on every print. DXY has been oscillating near 100-101 this month, while EUR/USD pushed back above 1.14 as traders trim Fed hike bets and lean into ECB tightening expectations. 📉📈 🎯 Bottom Line Industrial production shows how strong the real economy is. Import prices show how much tariffs and supply chains are adding to inflation. Together they shape the Fed's next move, and that move ripples through every major currency pair. 💡 Ready to trade the next big data-driven swing? Open your account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 21, 2026 🌏 Asia: Broad rally. Nikkei 225 +2.2% to 64,141 as trading resumed post-holiday. Hang Seng +2.36% to 25,143, Shanghai Composite +0.85% to 3,796. Chipmakers drove Korea and Taiwan up 2.5%+. 💵 USD: Dollar Index near 101.00 (+0.2%), underpinned by rising Treasury yields and Gulf tensions. 💱 Majors: EUR/USD 1.1420 (-0.17%). USD/JPY 162.53 (+0.08%), yen near multi-decade lows. 🛢️ Oil: WTI ~$82.43/bbl, holding near 5-week highs as the US–Iran conflict enters day 10. 🥇 Gold: $4,022/oz (+0.36%), still near 9-month lows on inflation and rate-hike concerns. 📊 Fed watch: Markets price ~55% odds of a September hike, 80% for December. 📅 Today: UK employment data, Germany ZEW sentiment. Middle East headlines remain the key swing factor. 📈 Trade the moves with NordFX!

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📉 NordFX Insight: Quiet Markets Can Be the Most Expensive Ones US markets are closed for Independence Day, summer volume is thinning fast, and the tape looks sleepy. Don't be fooled. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just dropped forward guidance entirely, meaning the Fed is now flying on pure data, and the next surprise print could hit a market with almost nobody standing on the other side of the trade to absorb it. ⚠️ Three numbers that matter right now 🔸 3.50 to 3.75%, the Fed's current rate range, held steady in June with zero guidance on what's next 🔸 4.2%, the annual CPI increase through May, the sharpest 12-month jump since April 2023 🔸 July 24, the expiry date for the temporary 10% US tariff surcharge, already ruled unlawful by the Court of International Trade in May, still tangled in appeal Any one of these can turn a dead Tuesday into a 100 pip afternoon. 📊 Why thin markets bite harder When institutional desks step back for summer, retail and algo flow fill the gap. That flow doesn't add stability, it adds acceleration. A single tariff headline or a stray line in the Fed minutes (due next week) can push price further and faster than it would in a normal liquid session, simply because there's less depth to absorb the order. ✅ How to actually trade this 1️⃣ Limit orders only, market orders get punished by wider spreads on low volume 2️⃣ Cut size before the move, not after you're stopped out 3️⃣ Flag the calendar: Fed minutes, ECB and BOE commentary, July 24 tariff deadline 4️⃣ Treat a sudden volume spike as a signal to check the news, not chase the candle 5️⃣ Remember: no news yet doesn't mean no risk 🎯 The traders who protect capital in the quiet weeks are the ones with dry powder when the real move hits. Trade with tighter spreads and faster execution when it counts 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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