🌅 Morning Update | ...NORDFX Global님의 글

07 Jul 2025, 15:24 · Views 124

🌅 Morning Update | 07.07.2025 💵 Dollar Gains on Tariff Threats The greenback is strengthening after President Trump threatened a 10% tariff on countries supporting BRICS policies that go against US interests. 📃 Letters confirming the tariffs or outlining potential agreements will be sent today at 12:00 p.m. ET (6:00 p.m. CEST). 🛢️ Oil Slips, But Rebounds Crude prices initially fell over 1.4% at Sunday’s Globex open but have since pared losses to just 0.3%. The surprise? OPEC+ is boosting production by +548K barrels/day — well above the +411K expected. 🇳🇿 NZD Under Pressure New Zealand’s NZIER “shadow council” advised the RBNZ to keep interest rates on hold this week due to inflation risks. Despite this, the New Zealand dollar is one of the weakest major currencies today. 🇨🇳 China Hits Back Beijing is restricting EU medical equipment purchases in retaliation for recent tariff moves — signalling deepening trade tensions. 💴 Yen Slides on Wage Shock Japan’s real wages dropped 2.9% YoY in May — the sharpest decline in nearly two years and the fifth consecutive monthly fall. This dims the outlook for BoJ rate hikes. 📉 Metals Retreat as Stocks Rally Optimism around extended trade talks is lifting global stock markets — but pressuring safe havens. Gold is down 0.8%, silver has slipped 1.0%. 📈 Stay ahead of the markets with NordFX — your edge in a world of fast-moving news. 🌍

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🪙 NordFX Crypto News of the Week: Washington, ETF Inflows and a Sleeping Whale 📈 Crypto regained momentum. bitcoin climbed above $66,000 and reached its highest level in around five weeks. Softer US inflation supported risk appetite, while spot bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $727 million over the week. Ether outperformed, gaining around 8% over seven sessions and approaching $1,930. 🏛️ Washington returned to crypto regulation. The White House and US senators intensified negotiations over the CLARITY Act, which is designed to establish clearer rules for digital assets. Ethics restrictions, anti-money-laundering requirements and the division of authority between regulators remain the main obstacles ahead of a possible Senate vote. 🌍 Global regulators raised the alarm. An international financial-crime watchdog warned that organised criminal groups are exploiting gaps between national crypto regulations to move and launder billions of dollars. 🔐 Gaming became a crypto-security risk. US investigators arrested a suspect linked to malware hidden inside downloadable games. The programme allegedly infected around 8,000 devices and helped steal more than $220,000 from dozens of crypto wallets. 🐋 Fun fact of the week: a bitcoin wallet that had remained inactive for more than eight years suddenly transferred 5,907 BTC worth approximately $383 million. The coins were moved to another wallet rather than an exchange, leaving the owner’s plans a mystery. ⚡ Politics, inflation, institutional flows and long-silent whales all reminded traders that the crypto market never truly sleeps.

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 21, 2026 🌏 Asia: Broad rally. Nikkei 225 +2.2% to 64,141 as trading resumed post-holiday. Hang Seng +2.36% to 25,143, Shanghai Composite +0.85% to 3,796. Chipmakers drove Korea and Taiwan up 2.5%+. 💵 USD: Dollar Index near 101.00 (+0.2%), underpinned by rising Treasury yields and Gulf tensions. 💱 Majors: EUR/USD 1.1420 (-0.17%). USD/JPY 162.53 (+0.08%), yen near multi-decade lows. 🛢️ Oil: WTI ~$82.43/bbl, holding near 5-week highs as the US–Iran conflict enters day 10. 🥇 Gold: $4,022/oz (+0.36%), still near 9-month lows on inflation and rate-hike concerns. 📊 Fed watch: Markets price ~55% odds of a September hike, 80% for December. 📅 Today: UK employment data, Germany ZEW sentiment. Middle East headlines remain the key swing factor. 📈 Trade the moves with NordFX!

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📊 NordFX Morning Update – July 16, 2026 🌏 Asia: Shares fell Thursday as chipmakers stumbled. Kospi slid as much as 7.6% before trimming losses (holiday Friday), Nikkei –2.8%, Topix –1.2%. Hang Seng bucked the trend, holding gains. China Q2 GDP missed at 4.3% vs 4.5% expected. 💵 FX: USD/JPY ~162.15, edging lower after Japan's FinMin Katayama flagged readiness for currency action. EUR/USD trading choppy near 1.14, capped by cautious risk mood. 🥇 Gold: XAU/USD ~$4,035–4,040, slipping as renewed oil gains revive inflation worries. 🛢 Oil: Brent holding above $85 as US–Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz stay elevated. 📈 Wall Street (Wed close): S&P 500 +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.6%, Dow +0.3% – tech led on cooler June CPI (3.5% y/y). 🔑 Today: US retail sales, jobless claims, Philly Fed Index – watch for fresh USD moves. ⚡ Volatility risk stays high – trade with caution!

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ECB Week: EUR/USD, Gold and Oil Before the July Policy Test 🏦 | NordFX All eyes on Frankfurt this week. The ECB meets July 23, and markets are betting big on another hold, deposit rate stays at 2.25%, with odds near 88%. Cooling inflation (2.8% in June vs 3.2% in May) gives Lagarde room to stay cautious rather than commit to a new direction. 🎯 💶 EUR/USD hovers near 1.14, but the real driver may be Washington, not Frankfurt. The Fed meets July 29-30, and a dovish surprise from either side could push the pair toward 1.16-1.18. A hawkish twist could send it back to 1.12. 🥇 Gold sits just above $4,000/oz, torn between inflation worries pushing it up and fading safe haven demand pulling it down. One surprise from either central bank could break the standoff. 🛢️ Oil is the real wildcard. Brent has jumped ~30% off its July lows as US-Israel-Iran tensions escalate and fears grow over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Rising energy costs are already feeding into inflation, complicating the math for both the ECB and the Fed. 📊 Bottom line: an ECB decision, a looming Fed meeting, and oil on edge, all in one week. Expect volatility to spike across EUR/USD, gold and crude. 🔥 Ready to trade the moves? 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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NordFX Forecast: Post Holiday Repricing – USD, Gold, Oil and Bitcoin After the NFP Shock 📊 The July 4 fireworks were still smoking when the jobs data lit a bigger one. June Nonfarm Payrolls printed just 57K versus 115K expected, with April and May slashed by a combined 74K. Unemployment "fell" to 4.2%, but only because discouraged workers left the labor force, participation dropped to 61.5%, the weakest since 2021. Wages held at 3.5% y/y. Underneath the headline: a labor market losing steam. 💵 USD – Rate hike odds for September tumbled toward 50% from near 67% pre print, and the dollar just logged its worst week since April. All eyes now on CPI (July 14) and the July 29 FOMC. Expect sharp, headline driven swings. 🥇 Gold – XAU/USD snapped back above $4,150 after four weekly losses in a row, riding the weaker dollar and fading hike bets. Still far from January's record near $5,600. $4,000 remains the line in the sand; a soft dollar keeps bulls in control for now. 🛢️ Oil – Brent near $72, WTI near $69, the calmest levels since before the US-Iran conflict began. Hormuz shipping is normalizing, Saudi and UAE exports are back close to pre war flows, and OPEC+ just added more barrels. But diplomacy is fragile, one bad headline could reignite the risk premium fast. ₿ Bitcoin – BTC sits in the low $60Ks, nowhere near 2025's $122K peak, as fragile risk appetite and Fed uncertainty keep buyers cautious. Views are split between a bounce toward $65-70K and another leg down if data disappoints again. 🔎 Bottom line: a cooling US economy, a shaky dollar, easing but unresolved geopolitical tension, markets are one headline away from their next big move. Trade this volatility with real conditions. Open an account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Not financial advice. Markets are volatile, trade responsibly.

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