🌅 Morning Update | ...NORDFX Global님의 글

18 Jun 2025, 15:09 · Views 90

🌅 Morning Update | 18.06.2025 📈 US indices edge higher, recouping yesterday’s losses, even as oil 🛢️ stays firm above $76 amid ongoing Middle East tensions. European futures point to a positive open, but overall volatility in global equities remains moderate. 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at 0.5%, as expected. Nikkei 225 futures jumped +1.5%, while USD/JPY slipped 0.2%. 📉 Gold dipped 0.05% to $3,386/oz, while bitcoin ₿ bounced back above $105.5k, recovering from yesterday’s fall to $103.9k. Crypto sentiment remains cautious, reflecting investor unease. 📰 The New York Times reports that Iran has prepared missiles and other military assets to strike US bases if Donald Trump escalates involvement. Meanwhile, VIX futures dropped 0.8%, hinting at slightly calmer market nerves. 💥 The main stress point today is oil, which has rebounded to its highest level since January. 📌 Key events to watch today: 🔹 US Jobless Claims Report at 12:30 PM GMT — figures above 250k could spark risk-off mood on Wall Street. 🔹 Fed Decision at 6 PM GMT and Jerome Powell’s press conference at 6:30 PM GMT — markets eye fresh clues on the policy outlook. #MorningUpdate #MarketNews #Forex #Crypto #Oil #Gold #Fed

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📢 Crypto Weekly Digest: June 24 – July 1 📉 🔴 Bitcoin had one of its roughest weeks of the year, sliding under $59,000–$60,000, its lowest level since late 2024, and closing out June as the worst month of the entire 2026 correction. It's down over 5% on the week alone and nearly $19K off its May peak near $77,600. 🔴 Ethereum wasn't spared either, dipping toward $1,570–$1,620 as spot ETFs bled tens of millions in outflows, with capital rotating into stablecoins and rivals. 🟢 Not everyone lost. Solana and Hyperliquid bucked the trend, posting solid weekly gains while the rest of the top 10 stayed red. 😨 The Fear & Greed Index hit an all-time cycle low of 12 (Extreme Fear) before ticking up slightly to 15. 🏛️ Politics got tangled with crypto again: Trump refused to sign the housing bill carrying a CBDC ban through 2030, holding it hostage until Congress passes his separate voter-ID "SAVE Act." ⚖️ Meanwhile the industry's big prize, the CLARITY Act (crypto market structure law), is stuck in the Senate needing 7 Democratic votes before the August recess. Its fate could shape US crypto rules for years. 🇪🇺 In Europe, MiCA's transition period expired July 1, forcing unlicensed exchanges to wind down, with Binance racing to secure a new EU license. 🕵️ A darker headline: reports surfaced of a China based exchange allegedly used to launder billions in sanctioned Iranian and North Korean funds. ⛏️ Fun fact: even as prices crashed to 20 month lows, Bitcoin's mining difficulty just hit an all time record high. Miners are working harder than ever, betting on the network even in the depths of a bear market! 💪 Stay sharp and trade smart! 🚀

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📊 NordFX Market Watch: The Calendar Changes. Market Risk Does Not Disappear. A new quarter starts tomorrow, but the risks built up in June won't reset with it. 🔄 Quarter-end rebalancing is pulling flows in opposite directions, month-end models favor the dollar, quarter-end models favor selling it. Expect choppier price action as institutional books close. 💵 USD funding stays tight. The dollar index sits near a 13-month high, on track for its strongest month in nearly a year, as markets price in possible Fed hikes with September in focus. 🥇 Gold has slid toward $4,000, heading for its steepest quarterly drop on record, as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fed outweigh safe haven demand. 🛢️ Oil has fallen back near pre-war levels as Gulf tanker traffic resumes, but US-Iran terms remain unsettled, so every headline can still move the barrel fast. ₿ Crypto risk appetite has cooled. Bitcoin is down sharply from its spring highs, ETF outflows have picked up, and sentiment sits deep in fear territory. The calendar turns, but funding stress, geopolitics, and positioning carry straight into July. 🧭 👉 Trade the moves as they happen: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – June 29, 2026 🌏 Asia mixed as the US–Iran truce stays fragile: Nikkei -0.8%, Kospi -1.5% (Kosdaq +7%), Hang Seng +2.1%, CSI 300 flat, ASX 200 +0.4%. 🛢️ Oil edges up – Brent ~$73/bbl, WTI ~$70/bbl, after weekend US–Iran strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. Both sides paused fire; talks resume in Doha Tuesday. 🥇 Gold near $4,060 as truce hopes ease safe-haven flows; silver near $58. 💵 Dollar firm near 101.3 on the DXY, holding 13-month highs after the Fed's hawkish June hold. EUR/USD ~1.139; GBP/USD ~1.32. 📊 Quiet calendar today – eyes on Wednesday's ISM Manufacturing PMI and Thursday's US jobs report (moved up ahead of the July 4 holiday). 📈 US futures point higher: Dow +0.3%, S&P 500 +0.6%, Nasdaq +0.7%. Trade smart with NordFX! 💹

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📉 NordFX Insight: Quiet Markets Can Be the Most Expensive Ones US markets are closed for Independence Day, summer volume is thinning fast, and the tape looks sleepy. Don't be fooled. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just dropped forward guidance entirely, meaning the Fed is now flying on pure data, and the next surprise print could hit a market with almost nobody standing on the other side of the trade to absorb it. ⚠️ Three numbers that matter right now 🔸 3.50 to 3.75%, the Fed's current rate range, held steady in June with zero guidance on what's next 🔸 4.2%, the annual CPI increase through May, the sharpest 12-month jump since April 2023 🔸 July 24, the expiry date for the temporary 10% US tariff surcharge, already ruled unlawful by the Court of International Trade in May, still tangled in appeal Any one of these can turn a dead Tuesday into a 100 pip afternoon. 📊 Why thin markets bite harder When institutional desks step back for summer, retail and algo flow fill the gap. That flow doesn't add stability, it adds acceleration. A single tariff headline or a stray line in the Fed minutes (due next week) can push price further and faster than it would in a normal liquid session, simply because there's less depth to absorb the order. ✅ How to actually trade this 1️⃣ Limit orders only, market orders get punished by wider spreads on low volume 2️⃣ Cut size before the move, not after you're stopped out 3️⃣ Flag the calendar: Fed minutes, ECB and BOE commentary, July 24 tariff deadline 4️⃣ Treat a sudden volume spike as a signal to check the news, not chase the candle 5️⃣ Remember: no news yet doesn't mean no risk 🎯 The traders who protect capital in the quiet weeks are the ones with dry powder when the real move hits. Trade with tighter spreads and faster execution when it counts 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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