📉 Morning Market Up...NORDFX Global님의 글

11 Jun 2025, 15:24 · Views 90

📉 Morning Market Update | 10.06.2025 📊 U.S. index futures are slightly down this morning, falling by around -0.2% to -0.3%. European markets (🇩🇪 DAX, 🇬🇧 FTSE 100, 🇪🇺 Euro Stoxx 50) are also trading in the red. Meanwhile, Chinese markets are shining: 🇨🇳 CHN.cash and HK.cash futures are up by about 1%. 📆 The spotlight today is on May CPI inflation data from the U.S., due at 🕧 12:30 PM GMT. Markets expect a slight uptick from April. We might also hear fresh comments on 🇺🇸🤝🇨🇳 U.S.–China trade talks. 💰 Precious metals are moving fast: • 🔵 Platinum soars nearly +2% to $1,240/oz — levels not seen since 2020! • 🟡 Gold adds +0.5%, reaching $3,338/oz • ⚪ Palladium climbs +0.9% 💵 The U.S. dollar is strengthening, with the USD Index (USDIDX) up +0.6% and crossing the 99 mark. 🌾 Agricultural commodities are also mostly in green, though gains are modest. 💶 EUR/USD is flat, while 🛢️ oil edges higher by just under +0.5%. 📉 API oil data revealed a surprise draw of -0.37M barrels, versus expectations for a +0.7M build. However, gasoline inventories jumped by nearly +3M barrels, following last week’s +4.7M spike. 💬 JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon warned of a potential U.S. economic slowdown, while White House AI & Crypto Czar David Sacks claimed 🇨🇳 China is just 3–6 months behind the U.S. in AI development. #Markets #Forex #Commodities #Oil #Gold #Inflation #USD #CPI #China #AI #NordFX

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🟢 NordFX Morning Update – June 25, 2026 🌏 Asia: Tech roared back overnight after blowout Micron earnings and a bullish Qualcomm forecast eased AI-bubble fears. Nikkei 225 jumped 4.0%, Kospi surged 5.2%, led by SK Hynix (+11%) and Samsung (+5%). Hang Seng slipped 1.0% on profit-taking, ASX 200 -0.3% despite strong May jobs data (+40.3K, unemployment down to 4.4%). CSI 300 and Nifty 50 both opened higher. 💵 FX: Dollar near 13-month highs on growing Fed rate-hike bets. EUR/USD broke below 1.14, now around 1.135-1.14. USD/JPY sits near 161.7, close to a four-decade high. 🥇 Gold dipped under $4,000/oz overnight – a 7-month low – before steadying near $4,000-4,010 as the stronger dollar and hawkish Fed outlook weigh on bullion. 🛢 Oil: WTI ~$69, Brent ~$73, both near pre-war lows as Strait of Hormuz traffic keeps normalizing. 📊 Big data day ahead: US Final Q1 GDP, jobless claims, durable goods orders, and Core PCE (the Fed's key inflation gauge) all land at 8:30 AM ET today. Markets are pricing rising odds of a Fed hike later this year under new Chair Kevin Warsh – a sharp turn from earlier rate-cut talk. Stay sharp out there! 💪 #NordFX #Forex #Gold #Oil #MarketUpdate

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📉 NordFX Insight: Quiet Markets Can Be the Most Expensive Ones US markets are closed for Independence Day, summer volume is thinning fast, and the tape looks sleepy. Don't be fooled. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just dropped forward guidance entirely, meaning the Fed is now flying on pure data, and the next surprise print could hit a market with almost nobody standing on the other side of the trade to absorb it. ⚠️ Three numbers that matter right now 🔸 3.50 to 3.75%, the Fed's current rate range, held steady in June with zero guidance on what's next 🔸 4.2%, the annual CPI increase through May, the sharpest 12-month jump since April 2023 🔸 July 24, the expiry date for the temporary 10% US tariff surcharge, already ruled unlawful by the Court of International Trade in May, still tangled in appeal Any one of these can turn a dead Tuesday into a 100 pip afternoon. 📊 Why thin markets bite harder When institutional desks step back for summer, retail and algo flow fill the gap. That flow doesn't add stability, it adds acceleration. A single tariff headline or a stray line in the Fed minutes (due next week) can push price further and faster than it would in a normal liquid session, simply because there's less depth to absorb the order. ✅ How to actually trade this 1️⃣ Limit orders only, market orders get punished by wider spreads on low volume 2️⃣ Cut size before the move, not after you're stopped out 3️⃣ Flag the calendar: Fed minutes, ECB and BOE commentary, July 24 tariff deadline 4️⃣ Treat a sudden volume spike as a signal to check the news, not chase the candle 5️⃣ Remember: no news yet doesn't mean no risk 🎯 The traders who protect capital in the quiet weeks are the ones with dry powder when the real move hits. Trade with tighter spreads and faster execution when it counts 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 2, 2026 🌏 Asian Session Nikkei 225 closed at 70,475 (+0.59%), a third straight session of gains on AI and chip stock strength 📈. USD/JPY holds near 162.70 – still around a 40-year high – as the wide Fed–BoJ rate gap keeps carry trades alive. 💵 Forex EUR/USD ticks up near 1.1380 after Eurozone inflation cooled more than expected (2.8% y/y, core 2.4%) and Fed Chair Warsh sounded less hawkish overnight 🇪🇺. GBP/USD near 1.3290, edging higher in Asian trade. 🥇 Commodities Gold holds just below $4,050/oz, consolidating ahead of the big catalyst 🪙. Oil extends its slide – Brent near $73/bbl, WTI below $68, the lowest since late February – as Hormuz shipping normalizes and US–Iran talks progress ⛽. 📊 Today's Key Event US June Non-Farm Payrolls, 8:30 ET – forecast ~100K jobs, unemployment seen at 4.3% 🇺🇸. With Fed rate-hike odds near 90% per CME FedWatch, this print carries outsized weight. Expect sharp moves across majors and gold once it lands ⚡. Trade smart with NordFX 🚀

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PCE and GDP Day: What Growth and Inflation Together Tell Forex Traders | NordFX Today the US drops two heavyweight reports back to back: the third estimate of Q1 2026 GDP and the May Personal Income and Outlays report, home to the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE. 📊 GDP growth was already revised down to 1.6% annualized in the second estimate, from 2.0% at the advance reading, on weaker consumer spending and investment. Since consumption drives nearly 70% of GDP, today's number is a real time read on how stretched US households are. Inflation has been climbing, not cooling. April's PCE ran 3.8% year over year, core at 3.3%, both well above the Fed's 2% target. Economists expect May's print to push higher, toward roughly 4.1% headline, the hottest since 2023, driven largely by the oil shock from the Israel Iran war that began in late February. 🛢️ There is a silver lining: crude has dropped sharply this week, with WTI near $70 and Brent near $73.50, the lowest since the war started, as ceasefire talks edge forward, though still fragile, with flashpoints in Lebanon and around the Strait of Hormuz. A cooler May reading would ease pressure on the Fed. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in his first meeting on June 17, a fourth straight hold, but dropped dovish forward guidance. Half the committee now sees a hike by year end, and futures markets price roughly 70% odds of one by September. 🏦 That tension is exactly why today matters for FX. A hot PCE plus solid GDP would push the dollar, already near a one year high, even further, with EUR/USD pinned near 1.136 and gold sliding toward $4,000. A cooler surprise could spark a relief rally in EUR, GBP and gold, especially with sterling already weak on UK political turmoil. Expect a volatile session either way. ⚡ Open your NordFX account: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 🚀

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NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: After the Fed - Dollar, Gold and Oil into PCE Week The Fed just reset the playbook, and markets are still adjusting. Here's what matters this week. 👇 🏦 Fed: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair held rates at 3.50-3.75%, but the dot plot flipped hawkish, with the 2026 median jumping to 3.8%. A hike by September or October is now firmly on the table. 💵 Dollar: DXY is near 100.8, its strongest level in about a year, gaining broadly. EUR/USD sits near 1.15-1.16, USD/JPY is testing the 160-161 zone where BoJ intervention risk rises. 💴 🥇 Gold: Slid to ~$4,150 last week (third straight weekly loss) as the hawkish Fed and stronger dollar weighed on demand. Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900. It's since bounced to ~$4,190-4,200 on renewed US-Iran talk headlines. Stuck between Fed pressure and safe-haven bids. ⚖️ 🛢️ Oil: Brent near $80, WTI near $77-78. Crude dropped sharply on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, then bounced again after Friday's Geneva talks were cancelled and Monday brought reports of fresh progress. Headline-driven and choppy. 🌍 🇬🇧 Political wildcard: UK PM Starmer reportedly preparing an exit, with Andy Burnham tipped as successor. GBP/USD is trading defensively near 1.32-1.33. 🧩 📅 Next up: Thursday's PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. A hot print cements the hawkish pivot; a soft one could spark a fast dollar unwind. 📊 Levels: DXY 99.8-101.5 | EUR/USD 1.145-1.165 | GBP/USD 1.31-1.335 | USD/JPY 158.5-161.5 | XAU/USD 4,100-4,250 | Brent 78-83 Trade smart and stay close to the calendar this week. 🚀 👉 Open your account with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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