XAUUSD on the daily ...CLOVER GOLD FX님의 글

XAUUSD on the daily timeframe is currently completing a Elliott Wave corrective structure, with Wave 4 likely finalizing within a key Fibonacci confluence zone (50%-61.8% retracement of Wave 3). Price action has shown a potential bullish rejection near the 61.8% level, suggesting a possible Wave 5 rally targeting a new high above the previous peak at 3,500. From a fundamental standpoint, persistent inflation concerns, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and dovish expectations from the Fed amid slowing U.S. economic indicators continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset. If bullish momentum holds above the current reversal zone, we could see a strong impulsive continuation toward new highs, validating the bullish Elliott Wave count

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EURCAD is trading within a corrective structure after completing a clear impulsive advance and the recent decline has found strong demand at a well-defined support zone which has already been respected by multiple daily closes this tells me sellers are losing momentum while buyers are quietly absorbing supply the structure suggests this pullback is corrective rather than a trend reversal and as long as price holds above this base the probability favors a continuation to the upside a sustained hold above support should open the door for a fresh bullish leg targeting a retest of the recent highs and potentially higher levels while a daily close below support would invalidate this bullish bias and signal deeper consolidation.

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#eurusd EURUSD shows a mature bullish structure that has transitioned into a contracting corrective phase. The prior impulse completed cleanly and price is now respecting a rising support trendline while repeatedly rejecting a major supply zone above. This behavior signals distribution rather than continuation as momentum weakens with each push higher. The sequence of lower highs against steady higher lows forms a classic wedge pattern which often precedes a decisive breakdown. The latest rejection from resistance followed by strong bearish pressure suggests sellers are gaining control. A move toward the lower boundary of the structure remains the higher probability scenario before any meaningful trend continuation can be considered.

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The GBPCAD 4H chart shows a corrective phase completing after a broader bearish structure followed by a developing bullish reaction from strong horizontal support around the 1.8330–1.8350 zone. Price previously respected a descending channel and completed an impulsive move down, labeled into a five-wave decline, indicating bearish exhaustion near wave 5. From this base, the market formed an ABC corrective structure where price repeatedly defended the same horizontal support, highlighting strong buyer interest and liquidity absorption. The recent decline into point C aligns with a higher-probability reversal area, suggesting sellers are weakening while buyers are gradually gaining control. As long as price holds above this support, the structure favors a bullish recovery with upside potential toward the previous corrective high near 1.8650, which also aligns with the dotted resistance projection. A clean hold and bullish confirmation from this zone could trigger a sustained move higher, while a decisive break below support would invalidate the bullish outlook and reopen downside risk.

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