🌅 Morning Wrap (08.11.2024)
📉 Fed Rate Cut Cheers U.S. Markets: U.S. indices responded positively to the Fed's decision to lower rates from 5% to 4.75%. Powell's dovish stance reassured markets of potential further monetary easing, although he emphasized that future actions would depend on economic data rather than set guidance.
💼 Powell’s Perspective: He expressed confidence in the U.S. economy, though he noted a weaker labour market. Despite multiple rate cuts, policy remains "restrictive" to prevent inflation expectations from rising. However, insights from the business sector hint at a potential economic upswing in 2025.
📈 Market Movements:
S&P 500: +0.7%
Nasdaq 100: +1.5%
Dow Jones & Russell 2000: Slight declines
📉 Europe and Asia: European futures are down slightly, while Japan's Nikkei rose 0.2% after leading indicators showed positive signs. Meanwhile, household spending in Japan dropped by -1.1% YoY. In China, Hang Seng and CSI indices dropped, with index contracts HK.cash and CHN.cash down nearly -3%. Investors are uncertain if additional stimulus will be announced by the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress.
💵 U.S. Dollar and Yields: The dollar has softened slightly. Yields fell to 4.33% from 4.45% following Trump’s win, with Powell’s dovish approach indicating the Fed’s satisfaction with ongoing inflation reductions and a weaker labour market.
🌾 Agricultural Commodities: The weaker dollar brought some relief:
Wheat & Corn: Modest gains
Cotton: Up 3% on ICE ahead of the USDA’s WASDE report release at 5 PM GMT
Oil: Down 0.5-0.6%
Gas: Up 0.3%
🚀 Crypto Rally Continues: The crypto market remains bullish, with Bitcoin trading above $76K, nearing its all-time high again. Cardano has gained an impressive 12% 📈.
📲 Stay tuned for more market updates!
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