Morning traders, USD...Smart Jet님의 글

29 Aug 2022, 15:02 · Views 84

Morning traders, USD strength straight out from the weekly open, makes sense to us as we expect it to continue for the week, we still expect the USD strength to be better paired against the vulnerable EUR and CNH, but it would make sense to see Dollar strength across the board against everything USD longs right now remain our "core" positions and we also look for intraweek opportunities to go further long Dollars, will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute

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Smart Jet

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Powell still speaking but so far not much forward guidance is being given, simply the FED is open to hiking further but also open to a pause depending on how the data develops until the next rate decision, so without much said from Powell the Dollar is rightfully basically flat after a bit of volatility on both sides, not a lot to do with it, will see where markets are at tomorrow at the London open but for now, no short term bias and no short term fundamental direction from this flat FOMC

Smart Jet

Morning traders, with a data dependant FED the data from the US becomes even more important as it will decide the next move at the next rate decision and shape the sentiment heading into it, the first important number for that is the NFP today which we monitor carefully With that TDS is expecting a number below consensus and Goldmans is expecting a number above consensus so mixed reading, but the plan for me is still in favor of USD longs so if we see a strong NFP later we might jump into some Dollar longs right before the weekly close

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‼️AUDUSD update, moving stop loss further in profit at 0.66900‼️

Smart Jet

Morning traders, RBA hiked 25bps overnight which was a move not priced in, and that's an interesting development, mainly because it offers us an insight into what central banks might be thinking, you know, if the RBA is overextending on its tightening then other central banks might find themselves in a similar situation, sure the context around the RBA and FED is different but still, the RBA just opened the door for the possibility of central banks doing MORE than what's currently expected With that said, this is not something that we can take action on short term but it whispers that it is time to be careful with risk assets again, more tightening not just from the FED but from other central banks too will put more pressure on the economy globally which will weigh on risk, so in this context I continue to like the Dollar

Smart Jet

Morning traders, it's a bank holiday today in Europe so it's a quiet start to the week but currently as I'm watching the charts I feel it might be the right technical moment to jump into EURUSD shorts over the next couple of sessions, yes, Friday looks a lot like classic month end flows and those usually always fade as the new month starts, so we might enter the trade over the next couple of sessions Other than that, we have pending order to short AUDUSD from 0.68000 target at 0.62000 stop at 0.68400, will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute

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