2022.02.14 >美元和日元...tradelead님의 글

2022.02.14 >美元和日元避险资金流入，也因为俄罗斯-乌克兰危机 >黄金也趋向大幅上涨，也由于美债收益率的下降 >预计欧元交易者将会对Lagarde今天的讲话保持密切关注 >澳联储2月份会议纪要的发布，可能会推动澳元 >随着乌克兰危机的临近，美国股市处于红色区域 >由于对石油供应中断的担忧加剧，WTI 价格上涨欧元/美元下跌，低于1.1370 (R1) 支撑线，目前转为阻力欧元/美元4小时走势图支撑: 1.1300 (S1), 1.1235 (S2), 1.1180 (S3) 阻力: 1.1370 (R1), 1.1435 (R2), 1.1482 (R3) 美元/日元也下跌，但在今天亚洲时段成功的在浮动在115.45 (S1) 支撑线的上方美元/日元4小时走势图支撑: 115.45 (S1), 114.45 (S2), 113.70 (S3) 阻力: 116.30 (R1), 117.50 (R2), 118.40 (R3)

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Russia-Ukraine crisis provides safe haven flows. The USD as well as JPY were on the rise on Friday as well as during today’s Asian session as safe haven flows tended to support the currencies due to the instability and the possibility of war in Ukraine. It should be noted that a call made between the US President Biden and Russian President Putin ended inconclusive and that the US has warned repeatedly that Russia could invade. US stockmarkets were in the reds as market sentiment turned cautious, while investors seemed to turn towards precious metals as gold’s price jumped as it may have gotten also support by a drop of US treasury yields. Also as a result of the Russia Ukraine crisis, worries in the oil market for a possible disruption of supply of the commodity were in the rise causing WTI’s price to rise. It should be noted that on Friday the drop of the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment, yet that did not deter the greenback bulls from taking over and given the lack of high impact financial releases from the US today we expect fundamentals to guide USD. On the other hand the common currency tended to weaken against the USD on the same prospect, while EUR traders are expected to keep a close eye over ECB President Lagarde’s speech later today. It should be noted that last week the ECB president issued a warning against tightening the monetary policy too fast with possible hasty rate hikes, as they may not tackle the inflation issue and could endanger the recovery of Eurozone’s economy, and should she sound dovish once again we may see the EUR suffering further losses today. On the EUR’s fundamentals the tensions between Ukraine and Russia, could weaken the common currency further as a possible war could slow-down the area’s economic recovery as well.

tradelead