Gold is holding above the 4060 mitigation demand after reclaiming short-term structure, but the higher-timeframe bearish trendline still caps upside momentum.
Markets are now focused on upcoming U.S. CPI and Fed commentary, which could trigger the next major liquidity expansion. Sticky inflation and elevated Treasury yields continue to support the Dollar, limiting gold's bullish potential.
From an ICT perspective, price is reacting from institutional demand and may sweep buy-side liquidity toward 4120–4130 if buyers defend 4060.
If price holds above 4060, bulls may target 4120–4130.
If 4060 fails, gold could revisit 4020 to fill deeper sell-side liquidity.
Key Levels
Major Supply: 4120–4130
Trendline Resistance: 4125–4140
Mitigation Demand: 4060–4065
Major Liquidity Zone: 4020–4030
Trading Plan
Bullish above 4060 targeting 4120
Bearish below 4060 targeting 4020
Wait for confirmation after CPI-driven volatility before chasing momentum.
HTF remains beneath bearish trendline while intraday structure shows recovery from mitigation demand. Price is reacting inside institutional support, with buy-side liquidity resting below major supply at 4120-4130. A hold above 4060 favors another liquidity sweep higher, while failure below demand exposes 4020 sell-side liquidity. Focus on liquidity delivery after upcoming U.S. CPI and Fed catalysts rather than predicting direction.
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