🌅 MORNING UPDATE | June 9, 2026

09 Jun 2026, 13:19 · Views 11,522

🌏 Asian Markets Asian shares bounced back Tuesday after the region's steepest selloff in months. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 gained 1% to 64,654, with tech and chip equipment makers leading gains. South Korea's Kospi surged 3.5% to 7,743, recovering from Monday's 8%+ collapse - SK Hynix jumped 7.7% after announcing a data centre partnership with Nvidia, Samsung rose 3.6%. Oil prices eased from Monday highs, helping lift regional sentiment.

🇺🇸 Wall Street (June 8 close) S&P 500: +0.30% → 7,405 | Nasdaq: +0.86% → 25,929 | Dow Jones: -0.16% → 50,786. Tech led the partial recovery with the semiconductor ETF up 5%, though broader gains were capped by ongoing Middle East uncertainty.

🛢️ Oil Brent closed at ~$94.48/bbl on June 8, having spiked above $97 intraday after Iran and Israel exchanged missile strikes, before paring gains as Iran declared an end to military operations and Trump signalled ceasefire progress. Oil is easing further this morning.

🥇 Gold Gold is trading around $4,321/oz - near its lowest since late March. The Iran-Israel ceasefire easing safe-haven demand, combined with a strong US jobs report last week, pushed Fed rate hike probability for December above 40%, weighing on bullion. Investors now await Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's PPI.

💶 EUR/USD The pair edged up to 1.1537, near its weakest level since April 3, as Middle East tensions, rising inflation, and a strong dollar kept pressure on the euro. The ECB is expected to hike rates at its June 11 meeting - traders are pricing in up to three ECB increases this year, after Eurozone CPI hit 3.2% in May.

₿ Bitcoin BTC is trading around $63,200-63,500, bouncing modestly alongside recovering tech sentiment but remaining well off its earlier 2026 highs.

📌 Key Events This Week 🔸 US CPI - Wednesday 🔸 ECB Rate Decision - Thursday 🔸 Middle East ceasefire talks - ongoing wildcard for oil & gold

⚠️ Trading involves risk. This is not investment advice.

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Economic Calendar 15 - 19 June, 2026

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Fed Decision Day Is Live: Open Your NordFX Account, Build a Watchlist and Test the Fed Day Scenario Step by Step 🚨 Today is the moment traders have circled for weeks. The Fed announces its rate decision at 2:00 PM ET, and thirty minutes later new Chair Kevin Warsh steps up for his very first press conference. 🎤 Markets are pricing in a hold at 3.50% to 3.75%, but the real fireworks sit in the updated dot plot. Back in March, the median projection pointed to one rate cut by year end. Since then, May inflation surprised to the upside at 4.2% year over year, and traders widely expect that projected cut to disappear from the chart entirely. Add in this morning's May retail sales report, also out at 8:30 AM ET, and you've got a full data collision. April sales already showed consumers spending more on essentials while pulling back elsewhere, with gas prices climbing as tensions in the Middle East keep energy markets on edge. 🌍 Tariff pressure is still in the mix too. That's a lot of volatility packed into one trading day. Bitcoin isn't sitting this one out either. BTC has been swinging hard, trading in the mid $60,000s after ETF outflows hit their largest monthly total of the year. 📉📈 A hawkish dot plot or a stronger dollar reaction could easily ripple into crypto by the close. So here's the move: don't watch from the sidelines, build the setup. ✅ Open your account in minutes, drop EUR/USD, gold, the S&P 500 and BTC/USD onto a watchlist, then run the Fed Day scenario step by step as the headlines hit. Test how each asset reacts to the statement, the dot plot and Warsh's tone in the press conference, all before deciding how you want to trade it. 👉 Get started here: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update - June 12, 2026 🕊️ Iran deal hopes drive a global risk-on rally. Trump cancelled planned strikes, declared a deal "done in principle," and said a signing could happen this weekend. Iran called a memorandum "under consideration" - but no final agreement exists yet, and the IRGC is signalling resistance. Markets are pricing in optimism. Caution remains justified. 🌏 Asian markets (Fri close/intraday): 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: 66,363 ✅ +3.5% | Tech leaders: Tokyo Electron +10%, Advantest +8.7% 🇰🇷 Kospi: +8.1% - biggest 1-day surge in months, led by AI/chip stocks 🇭🇰 Hang Seng: +1.7% | 🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite: +1.6% 🇦🇺 ASX 200: higher 📈 Wall St. (Thu close): S&P 500: 7,394 +1.75% · Dow: 50,849 +1.86% · Nasdaq: 25,810 +2.54% European futures: pointing ~+1.8% open 🛢️ Oil: Brent ~$89/bbl · WTI ~$86/bbl (both -4%+ Thu, lowest since March) 🥇 Gold: ~$4,193 (-0.5% as safe-haven demand fades) 💱 EUR/USD: ~1.1600 ₿ Bitcoin: ~$63,500 (+2.7%) 🚀 SpaceX IPO today! SPCX lists on Nasdaq at $135/share - $1.77T valuation, $75B raise - the largest IPO in history. Retail demand alone exceeded $70B. AI/tech tailwind across markets. 🏦 ECB raised rates +25bps to 2.25% Thursday. US PPI hit +6.5% y/y in May - inflation running hot, Fed hike bets growing. ⚠️ No deal is signed. Any reversal risks a sharp unwind. Trade responsibly.

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📊 CPI FLASH + MARKET REACTION | June 10, 2026 ✅ US CPI May — IN LINE: Headline: +4.2% Y/Y · +0.5% M/M Core: +2.9% Y/Y · +0.2% M/M 🟢 softer than forecast ⚠️ But CPI is not the story right now. 🛢️ Iran retaliated — strikes on US bases in Jordan, Bahrain & Kuwait. Markets in full risk-off. 📉 S&P 500 futures -1.1% 🥇 Gold -2.2% to ~$4,191 — war fears paradoxically pressuring bullion 🛢️ Oil holding near $88-89 amid ceasefire uncertainty 📌 Soft core CPI could ease Fed hike fears, but geopolitics are overriding everything. Watch the headlines. #NordFX #CPI #Iran #Gold #Markets #Forex

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NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: After the Fed - Dollar, Gold and Oil into PCE Week The Fed just reset the playbook, and markets are still adjusting. Here's what matters this week. 👇 🏦 Fed: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair held rates at 3.50-3.75%, but the dot plot flipped hawkish, with the 2026 median jumping to 3.8%. A hike by September or October is now firmly on the table. 💵 Dollar: DXY is near 100.8, its strongest level in about a year, gaining broadly. EUR/USD sits near 1.15-1.16, USD/JPY is testing the 160-161 zone where BoJ intervention risk rises. 💴 🥇 Gold: Slid to ~$4,150 last week (third straight weekly loss) as the hawkish Fed and stronger dollar weighed on demand. Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900. It's since bounced to ~$4,190-4,200 on renewed US-Iran talk headlines. Stuck between Fed pressure and safe-haven bids. ⚖️ 🛢️ Oil: Brent near $80, WTI near $77-78. Crude dropped sharply on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, then bounced again after Friday's Geneva talks were cancelled and Monday brought reports of fresh progress. Headline-driven and choppy. 🌍 🇬🇧 Political wildcard: UK PM Starmer reportedly preparing an exit, with Andy Burnham tipped as successor. GBP/USD is trading defensively near 1.32-1.33. 🧩 📅 Next up: Thursday's PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. A hot print cements the hawkish pivot; a soft one could spark a fast dollar unwind. 📊 Levels: DXY 99.8-101.5 | EUR/USD 1.145-1.165 | GBP/USD 1.31-1.335 | USD/JPY 158.5-161.5 | XAU/USD 4,100-4,250 | Brent 78-83 Trade smart and stay close to the calendar this week. 🚀 👉 Open your account with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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