🌅 Morning Update – 23 February 2026

23 Feb 2026, 15:22 · Views 1,177

🌍 Market mood: Trade policy uncertainty is back in focus after the US Supreme Court invalidated the tariff system introduced under IEEPA. In response, President Trump announced a uniform global tariff of 15%, higher than the previously signalled 10%. The possibility of tariff refunds adds further legal and policy ambiguity. Markets are reacting with caution, and US index futures are down by as much as 1.00% in early trade.

🇺🇸 US equity futures: Under pressure at the start of the week as investors re-price trade risks and geopolitical headlines.

💵 FX: The US dollar is among the weakest major currencies this morning, down around 0.3–0.4%.

EURUSD +0.31%, extending short-term recovery.

🇨🇳 China–US tensions: China’s Ministry of Commerce is conducting a full assessment of the Supreme Court ruling and has urged Washington to remove unilateral tariffs, arguing they violate trade rules and US law. Beijing signalled readiness to defend its interests ahead of a potential Trump–Xi meeting window.

🥇 Gold: Strong safe-haven demand.

$5,130, up 1.12%, the highest level in three weeks.

🛢 Oil: Softer amid demand concerns linked to tariff tensions.

Down around 1.00%.
Markets are also evaluating the possibility of renewed US–Iran talks. Goldman Sachs lifted its Q4 2026 Brent/WTI forecasts to $60/$56, citing lower OECD inventories, while still expecting a supply surplus in 2026 without major disruptions.

🌍 Geopolitics: Reports indicate Iran signed a €500 million agreement with Russia for the delivery of air defence systems and missiles, with shipments planned for 2027–2029. According to US media reports, Washington is considering limited airstrikes on selected targets, while US and Iranian negotiators are scheduled to meet in Geneva in what officials describe as a potentially final diplomatic window.

🪙 Crypto:

bitcoin briefly dropped nearly 5%, breaking below $65,000, before stabilising near $65,500.

📅 Today’s Economic Calendar:

🇩🇪 11:00 – Ifo Business Climate (February)

🇺🇸 17:00 – Durable Goods Orders Ex-Transport M/M (December)

🇺🇸 17:00 – Durable Goods Orders M/M (December)

Volatility is back on the radar – manage risk carefully and stay flexible 🚀

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📅 THE MARKET DOES NOT WAIT UNTIL YOU FEEL READY | NordFX The first Monday of June just dropped a full slate of macro data - and markets are already moving. ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.7 for the fourth straight month in expansion territory - the longest streak since 2022. New Orders ticked up to 54.1. Factories are growing. But the mood out there? Anything but calm. 🌍 The backdrop is intense. The US-Iran war ceasefire is still fragile. Negotiations to extend it by 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz are ongoing but unresolved. Oil markets remain jumpy, inflation is running at 3.8% annually, and the Fed just held rates at 3.50-3.75% with its most fractured vote since 1992. Kevin Warsh is about to take the helm as Fed Chair - and nobody knows exactly which way he'll steer. 💵 The dollar is feeling the weight of all this uncertainty. DXY trades near 99, its lowest in months, as the Iran safe-haven premium unwinds and Fed credibility gets questioned. A weaker dollar typically supports commodities and risk assets - but right now, the relationship is anything but textbook. 🥇 Gold is above $4,500 - up 34% year-over-year - yet fighting a descending channel. Higher real rates, stalled ceasefire talks, and hawkish expectations are all capping the upside. The safe-haven bid is real, but so is the resistance. Whipsaws are the norm right now. ₿ Bitcoin is at $73,300 and sliding. A record nine-day ETF outflow streak just wiped $2.8 billion from institutional positioning. BTC is trading below all its key moving averages. Risk appetite in crypto is cooling fast as geopolitical headlines dominate. The $70K level is the line in the sand traders are watching. 📅 What's next this week: Tuesday - JOLTS job openings Wednesday - ADP + Fed Beige Book Friday - NFP + unemployment rate Each print could reprice rate-cut bets - and move every pair you're watching. 📌 Staying on the sidelines IS a decision.

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💸 Bitcoin at a Critical Crossroads

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NordFX | You Do Not Need More Noise. You Need a Market Routine. 📅 June 3, 2026. Bitcoin is trading near $67,500 - down over 14% in a month and sitting at a three-month low. Spot Bitcoin ETFs just logged their longest outflow streak since launch: 10 consecutive sessions, roughly $2.8B drained. ETF assets under management dropped from $104B to $94B in two weeks. Institutional capital is rotating into equities, not crypto. This is not the market to trade on impulse. 🧠 The macro backdrop is sending clear signals - if you know how to read them. The Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75%. New Chair Kevin Warsh heads into the June 16-17 FOMC with Brent crude above $100 and sticky inflation. Core PCE sits at 3.2% and regional Fed presidents are pushing back against any language implying the next move is a cut. A rate hike before late 2027 is now priced as a real possibility. Geopolitical pressure from the Middle East continues feeding energy costs. That is your operating environment. ⚠️ Liquidity exists. Risk appetite does not. Stablecoin supply remains near record highs, but altcoin participation is selective, not broad. June brings $580M in token unlocks across 144 projects - moderate pressure, concentrated in mid and small caps. Capital is parked, not deployed. 📊 Disciplined traders do not chase this market. They prepare for it. 🎯 They check macro catalysts before the session opens. They read order flow, not Twitter. They define risk before entry, not after. The edge in a market like this belongs to those with a structured daily routine - not those with the loudest opinions. That is exactly the trader NordFX is built for. Tight spreads on crypto, gold and FX. Execution that holds when volatility spikes. A professional platform for those who treat trading as a craft. Build your routine. Start here: 🔗 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Trade disciplined. Trade with NordFX.

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🌅 MORNING UPDATE | June 10, 2026

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update | June 2, 2026 🌏 Asian Markets Asia-Pacific markets are trading lower Tuesday amid renewed uncertainty over Middle East peace negotiations. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.32%, South Korea's Kospi dropped 1.92%, and Australia's ASX 200 lost 0.71%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng bucked the trend, edging up 0.13%, supported by technology stocks and BYD following its first monthly sales increase in eight months. Mainland China's CSI 300 gained 0.10%. 🇺🇸 Wall Street (Monday Close) All three major US indices closed at record highs. The S&P 500 rose 0.26% to 7,600, the Nasdaq gained 0.42% to 27,087, and the Dow Jones added 0.09% to 51,079. Technology stocks led gains, with Nvidia surging over 6% following the launch of a new PC processor. 🛢️ Oil Energy markets remain elevated on supply disruption concerns tied to the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude is trading near $92/barrel and Brent near $95/barrel. Ongoing diplomatic uncertainty in the Middle East continues to keep oil prices volatile. 🥇 Gold Gold is trading around $4,542/oz, facing pressure as elevated energy prices fuel inflation concerns and rate-hike expectations among major central banks. 💱 Forex EUR/USD edged up to 1.1637. Markets are pricing in over 90% probability of an ECB rate increase at the June 11 meeting, following accelerating inflation data across France, Italy, and Spain in May. ₿ Bitcoin Bitcoin is trading near $73,500, under mild pressure. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded 10 consecutive days of net outflows — an unprecedented streak — with geopolitical uncertainty weighing on risk sentiment across crypto markets. 🔑 Watch Today JOLTS Job Openings and Bank of England Governor Bailey's speech are the key scheduled events. Middle East developments, oil price direction, and ECB rate expectations remain the primary macro drivers. ⚠️ Trading involves significant risk. This is not investment advice.

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