NZD/USD TRADES WITH POSITIVE BIAS AMID SOFTER USD, LACKS FOLLOW-THROUGH BEYOND 0.5900

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  • NZD/USD gains some positive traction on Monday amid a modest USD weakness.
  • Dovish Fed expectations and a positive risk tone undermine the safe-haven buck. 
  • China’s economic woes and RBNZ rate cut bets to cap any further gains for the pair.

The NZD/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers near the 0.5880 area during the Asian session on Monday amid a softer US Dollar (USD), albeit lacks bullish conviction. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.5900 round figure and remain well within the striking distance of the lowest level since early May touched last Thursday.

The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data released on Friday added to the recent signs of easing price pressures and reaffirmed bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates in December. This, in turn, drags the US Treasury bond yields to a nearly two-week low, which, along with the risk-on impulse, keeps the USD bulls on the defensive and turns out to be a key factor lending some support to the NZD/USD pair. 

That said, persistent worries about a slowdown in China – the world's second-largest economy – might continue to act as a headwind for antipodean currencies, including the Kiwi. Adding to this, rising bets for an early interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), bolstered by the weaker CPI report released last week, contribute to capping the NZD/USD pair. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for further intraday gains.


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