Daily Digest Market Movers: Australian Dollar holds ground after higher China’s PMI

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  • The Judo Bank Australia Manufacturing PMI dropped for the fifth consecutive month to 47.2 in June from 49.7 in May. This decline is the fastest deterioration since May 2020.
  • Australia’s 10-year government bond yield surged above 4.4%, as a hot inflation reading fueled fears that the Reserve Bank of Australia might raise interest rates again in the next meeting in August.
  • NBS China’s Manufacturing PMI remained at 49.5 in June, consistent with market forecasts and marking the second consecutive month at this level. This result indicates the fourth instance of contraction. Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.5 from the previous reading of 51.1, below market expectations of 51.0. Despite marking the 18th consecutive month of expansion in the service sector, this is the slowest growth rate since last December.
  • On Friday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that US inflation eased to its lowest annual rate in over three years. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased by 2.6% year-over-year in May, down from 2.7% in April, meeting market expectations. Core PCE inflation also rose by 2.6% year-over-year in May, down from 2.8% in April, aligning with estimates.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser. Hauser said it would be a “bad mistake” to formulate policy in response to a single inflation report. He emphasized that there is still a suite of economic data to come that will require detailed analysis, per Bloomberg.
  • Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 4.0% in the year to May 2024, up from 3.6% in April and exceeding market forecasts of 3.8%. This marks the highest level since November 2023.


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