Daily digest market movers: US Dollar elevated by rising Treasury yields, eyes on PCE

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  • Wednesday's standout data was the New Home Sales for May, which demonstrated a decline of about 11.3% to 619K units from 698K units in the prior release and beneath the 640K expected.
  • Simultaneously, US Treasury yields are rising, with the 2, 5 and 10-year rates reported at 4.74%, 4.33%, and 4.31%, respectively.
  • Expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September continue to be high, odds from CME Fedwatch Tool are 60% for 25 bps cut.
  • Thursday holds the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision for Q1, which is anticipated to hold steady at 1.3%.
  • Friday's significant event will still be the May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, an inflation gauge favored by the Fed.
  • Both headline and core PCE are projected to soften to 2.6% YoY, dropping from 2.7% and 2.8%, respectively, in April

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