The most notable moves in G10 since the start of the week have been the further sell-off in G10 low-yielders: Swiss Franc (CHF) and Japanese Yen (JPY). Economists at ING analyze CHF and JPY outlook.
Japanese authorities look at the rate of change more than levels
CHF has been a bigger underperformer, with a dovish Swiss National Bank that no longer targets a stronger CHF adding pressure on the currency, and we think it may be too early to pick a bottom.
USD/JPY touched 152.00, continuing to test Japan’s FX intervention tolerance. This may still be only a ‘verbal intervention’ range, with another USD/JPY leg higher needed for actual FX intervention to be deployed (perhaps closer to 155.00). Remember that Japanese authorities look at the rate of change more than levels.
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