EUR/GBP GAINS SOME GROUND, UPSIDE LIMITED BY DOVISH ECB

avatar
· Views 57



  • The EUR/GBP currently trades at 0.8540, recording a 0.10% on Thursday.
  • Monetary policy divergences between the BoE and ECB will eventually benefit the GBP.
  • Markets are leaning toward a rate cut by the ECB in April while the BoE is seen starting in June.

In Thursday's session, the EUR/GBP pair is seen at 0.8540, posting modest gains. The pair is receiving pressure from a dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB), tipping rate cut odds for April. Meanwhile, GBP maintains its undercurrent due to the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy which seems to be pushing the easing cycle to June.

Adding to that, markets currently price in about 65% odds for rate cuts to commence in April, predicting 125 bp worth of easing this year, despite ongoing resistance from ECB officials. On the other hand, for the BoE, investors anticipate about 100 bp of rate cuts in the next 12 months, beginning in June due to the recent economic figures which suggest that the British economy remains resilient. Moreover, as long as the UK's economy continues to show strength and markets delay the BoE's interest rate cuts, the cross may see further downside


면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.

이 글이 마음에 드시나요? 작성자에게 팁을 보내 감사의 마음을 전하세요.
댓글 0

더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.

  • tradingContest