GBP/USD erases last Friday’s losses and climbs above the 1.2750 figure though it remains trading subdued amidst the lack of catalyst involving the Sterling (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). US Treasury bond yields rise, but the US Dollar (USD) is pressured ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2760, registering gains of 0.22%.
In the meantime, market players’ mood remains positive, as earnings from the chipmaker NVIDIA are set for release on Wednesday. Hence, high beta currencies like the GBP post gains propelled by sentiment and expectations for further tightening by the Bank of England (BoE), with traders pricing in a 25 bps rate hike, to 5.50%.
Therefore, the interest rate differential between the US and the UK will close, and with the BoE ready to raise rates at least twice, towards the 5.75% area, the GBP/USD could resume its uptrend and challenge the 1.3000 figure ahead of testing the year-to-date (YTD) high at 1.3147.
In the week ahead, the UK economic docket will feature the CBI Industrial Trend Orders, S&P Global PMIs, and the GfK Consumer Confidence. On the US front, the agenda will feature Fed speakers, housing data, S&P Global PMIs, Durable Good Orders, unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday
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