- GBP/JPY declined for a second consecutive day, near the 181.00 area.
- As expected, BoE hiked rates by 25 bps but hinted at a possible pause.
- The BoJ carried out an unexpected bond-buying operation pushing the 10-year yield to multi-year highs.
The GBP/JPY declined towards the 181.00 area on Thursday, mainly driven by the JPY’s strength amid the expectations of a potential Bank of Japan (BoJ) tweak. On the other hand, the GBP weakened against most of its rivals following the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision.
As anticipated, the BoE increased the policy rate today by 25 bps, bringing the Bank Rate to 5.25%—two members for 50bp and one member voting for keeping the Bank Rate unchanged.
In the statement, the BoE acknowledged the potential risks of inflation increasing, especially concerning wage growth. Despite this, the bank pointed out that its current monetary policy is restrictive, and Andrew Bailey considered it already having an “impact”. They also mentioned that they would maintain a sufficiently restrictive Bank Rate for a considerable duration to bring inflation back to the target of 2% in the medium term. This suggests that the BoE may prepare the financial markets for an upcoming pause or potential cuts.
Reacting to the decision, the British yields are seeing mixed movements. The 2-year rate declined to 4.93%, while the 5 and 10-year products stand at 4.44%, with the last one seeing more than a 1% increase.
On the other hand, the JPY is trading with gains against most of its rivals, mainly amid expectations of further tweaks on the Yield Control Curve (YCC) policy of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). On Thursday, the bank carried out an unexpected bond-buying operation, pushing the 10-year Japanese yield to a nine-year high of 0.65%. These movements hint at a potential monetary policy pivot. In the meantime, divergences in the financial policies between the BoE and BoJ should push the pair to the upside
면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.
