EUR/USD long term technical analysis(18/08/2021)

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May have some retracement to 1.175, but as long as I am seeing light demand a the retracement of yesterday bearish engulfing and supply being overweighting I am aiming at 1.15, and especially with a break under 1.17.
In fact ready for any time for a break under 1.17

On the monthly 


 
EUR/USD long term technical analysis(18/08/2021)
 
Supply has been in power since July'20. Also the upper trend of the channel formation has been a important demand weakening area since July'17, the 5 times it touched it. After a double top at 1.24 on heavy supply, last month retracement of June bearish engulfing closed on demand absorption at 1.20. 

Weekly

 
EUR/USD long term technical analysis(18/08/2021)
 
As seen in the current yellow area when compared to the initial yellow area of when it did reach 1.20, the buying interest is a less aggressive and attempting to push price higher. And that demand is showing a decrease as well as failures top push it any higher, having supply printing bearish engulfing's at the zone for the last 2 months.

Daily 

 
EUR/USD long term technical analysis(18/08/2021)
 
At the retracement from the drop from 1.19, price did print a bullish candle on the 13th August but since it was not backed up by demand volume it means that it was a break of selling interest. For them after to drag the price down to the 1.17 area with a bearish engulfing showing once again heavy supply, and having this current daily candle retracing it on light demand. Could still see a retracement a bit more higher before it continue further downward, per example around 1.175. 

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