神原英资:若日元突破100日元 日央行或干预汇价

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  cnbc消息称“日元先生”神原英资称:日元未来几天有可能继续升值,突破1美元兑100日元的水平后,将走向98-99。若这一情况发生,日本央行干预市场的可能性将大大攀升。如果日元进一步走向95,在这个水平美国也可能会同意日本决策者进入市场削弱日元。

  以下是原文:

  another haven currency, the yen, stabilized somewhat after it climbed precipitously on friday in the wake of the referendum results, with the dollar fetching as little as 99.08 yen at one point, marking the greenback's weakest against the japanese currency since 2013.

  at 12:04 p.m. sin/hk, the dollar was fetching 101.85 yen, off an earlier high of 102.46 yen. that's also down from the dollar/yen currency pair's 106.81 before the brexit results friday, when the remain camp had appeared to be headed for a win.

  it's also well below levels above 121 touched just before the bank of japan (boj) surprised markets on january 29 by introducing a negative interest rate policy.

  the yen may appreciate even further, according to some analysts.

  eisuke sakakibara, a professor at aoyama gakuin university and a former finance ministry official known as "mr. yen" for successful intervention in the yen in the 1990s, is among them.

  "i think it will probably try 100 again within the matter of the next couple of days. it could break 100 and head toward 98-99," he told cnbc's "street signs," citing the safe-haven flows into the currency.

  sakakibara said that the government may intervene to weaken the yen if the currency pair headed toward 95 as at that level the u.s. authorities may agree to japanese policymakers stepping into the market.

  so far, japan has refrained from directly intervening in the yen, which would contravene agreements with its group of 7 partners to avoid unilateral action in the currency market.

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