📊 Quarter-End Flows and Rebalancing Effects As Q1 comes to a close, markets are entering a phase where portfolio flows can temporarily outweigh macro signals. Quarter-end rebalancing by pension funds and large institutions typically means reducing exposure to outperforming assets and adding to lagging ones. After a relatively strong quarter for equities versus bonds, this points to equity selling and renewed demand for bonds into the final days of March. 💼 Flow dynamics in focus This rotation can put short-term pressure on stock indices while supporting government bonds and stabilising yields. These moves are often technical rather than fundamental, but they can be sharp, especially around key fixing sessions in London and New York. 💵 USD demand and liquidity effect Quarter-end is also associated with increased demand for USD funding as institutions rebalance hedges and liquidity positions. In the current environment, this effect is amplified by risk aversion, meaning the dollar can stay supported or strengthen short term, even without new macro catalysts. 🌍 Geopolitical overlay Tensions linked to Iran continue to keep markets on edge. Elevated oil prices and fragile sentiment increase the likelihood that flow-driven moves will be more volatile and less predictable than usual. Safe-haven demand for USD and gold can intensify intraday swings. 📉 What to expect Into the final sessions of March, traders should watch for: • Equity pullbacks near recent highs • Short-term support in bonds • USD strength on funding demand • Fast reversals driven by positioning, not news ⚠️ Bottom line Quarter-end is about positioning, not trend. But in the current environment, these flows can drive the market more than usual. Expect higher volatility, sharper moves, and temporary distortions across FX, equities and commodities. 🚀 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...