- EUR/USD exhibits strength amid weakness in the US Dollar. The Euro outperforms the Greenback but is sluggish against other peers on expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) could cut interest rates two more times this year. The ECB is widely anticipated to cut interest rates for the second time in its September meeting.
- This week, investors will focus on the preliminary Eurozone HCOB Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for August and Q2 Negotiated Wage Rates, which will be published on Thursday. Economists estimate that the Composite PMI barely improved amid the contraction in activities in the manufacturing sector. As for the Negotiated Wage Rate, a key measure of wage growth rose to 4.69% in the first quarter of this year and ECB officials would be pleased with a lower reading for the second quarter.
- The economic outlook of the Eurozone is vulnerable as its largest economy, Germany, struggles to maintain a firm footing due to poor demand from domestic and overseas markets. Amid downside risks to the Eurozone economic outlook, ECB policymaker and Finnish central bank chief Olli Rehn has shown comfort for market expectations pointing to rate cuts in September.
- In a speech to the European American Chamber of Commerce in New York, Rehn said: "The recent increase in negative growth risks in the euro area has reinforced the case for a rate cut at the next ECB monetary policy meeting in September, provided that disinflation is indeed on track," Reuters reported.
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