- Mexican Peso edges down after recovering over the past five trading days, exchanging hands at 18.41 against the US Dollar.
- Political developments, including judiciary reform, weigh on sentiment, sparking flows out of the Peso.
- Fed officials maintain cautious stance on inflation, affecting market expectations on monetary policy.
The Mexican Peso registers minuscule losses versus the US Dollar on Wednesday after recovering some ground in the last five trading days. A scarce economic docket in Mexico and the United States (US) leaves the emerging market currency leaning on political developments. The USD/MXN trades at 18.41, up 0.08%.
Traders remain risk averse as European bourses finished Wednesday’s session with losses. The Greenback trades with losses against most G7 currencies while advancing against emerging market currencies.
Data from Mexico suggests the economy remains robust, while traders eye the release of April’s Retail Sales report. In the meantime, investors remain attentive to politics after President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) reiterated that the judiciary reform would likely be approved in September.
On Monday, presumptive President Claudia Sheinbaum revealed a poll in which citizens approved a reform that allows the popular election of Supreme Court ministers, magistrates and judges. “These polls are information, they don't have another objective,” Sheinbaum said in a press conference. “This is just information to be considered in the discussions starting in the coming days.”
Aside from this, Federal Reserve officials remained cautious about inflation and the commencement of the easing cycle. Most considered inflation high, monetary policy appropriate, and the possibility of cutting rates once they gain confidence in the disinflation process.
Although policymakers are not considering a rate hike, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that if inflation stalls, he will favor an increase to the fed funds rate.
Despite that, the USD/MXN exchange rate would continue to be driven by political uncertainty as some of the reforms pushed by AMLO to change the Mexican Constitution threaten the state of law.
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