AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR EXTENDS LOSSES AHEAD OF RBA DECISION

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  • AUD/USD continues its decline as markets gear up for RBA’s decision next week.
  • Federal Reserve's projection of higher interest rates continues to bolster USD.
  • Australian calendar was empty on Friday, and USD suffers minimal intraday losses on soft UoM figures.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) experienced additional losses against the US Dollar (USD) despite strong labor market data from Australia reported earlier in the week, which prompted for a more hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The demand for the US seems to be growing thanks to interest rate revisions, which saw Federal Reserve (Fed) members forecasting fewer rate cuts this year. Additionally, the Greenback retained its strength despite soft University of Michigan (UoM) figures reported during the European session.

The Australian economy has shown signs of weakness yet the persistent high inflation is prompting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to delay cuts, which may limit its decline. The RBA meets next Tuesday, and investors will look for further clues. Markets are pricing the first rate cut only for May 2025. Still, risks are skewed toward an earlier start.


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