EUR/JPY REJECTED AT THE 20-DAY, STILL SET FOR FURTHER DOWNSIDE

avatar
· Views 99



  • On Friday, the EUR/JPY found support at the 155.40 area, near the 20-day SMA and then settled at 155.80
  • The JPY strengthen agains most of its rivals amid strong Labor Cash Earning data from Japan.
  • Eyes on German CPI data next Tuesday.

At the end of the week, the EUR/JPY traded with losses for a fourth consecutive day, falling to 155.40 and tallying a weekly loss of 1%. In that sense, strong labour market data from Japan made the JPY gain ground agains most of its rivals, including the USD,EUR,GPB and AUD.

During the early Asian Japan reported robust Labor Cash Earnings. The average income of regular employees in the country rose by 2.5% compared to the market's expectation of 0.7% year-on-year in May. As a reaction, the yields on the 2,5 and 10-year Japanese yields rose to their highest level since May and provide additional boost to the Yen.

As salaries in Japan seem to be rising, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy is on view as strong economic data can potentially make the central bank consider pivoting to a more contractive monetary policy.

On the other hand, according to the World Interest Rate Probability (WIRP), a 25 basis point (bps) hike is already priced in for July 27. Looking forward, the likelihood of another 25 basis point hike is approximately 60% by September 14 but becomes fully priced by October 26. For inventors to continue modelling their expectations, the German Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be released next week, will be looked upon


면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.

이 글이 마음에 드시나요? 작성자에게 팁을 보내 감사의 마음을 전하세요.
댓글 0

더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.

  • tradingContest