Economists at Commerzbank assume that Gold will be able to regain ground in the coming months.
Fed will not raise rates further
Our experts assume that the Fed will not raise rates further, as it does not want to risk raising interest rates too far in light of the recent tightening of credit conditions. If our experts are right, the Gold price should rise in the coming months.
We assume that the interest rate hikes so far will take their toll, i.e. US economic momentum is likely to weaken considerably in the second half of the year. Compared to the market, we expect the first interest rate cuts only at a somewhat later point in time, at the beginning of 2024 to be precise. As this should become apparent at the end of the year, the Gold price should then also begin to sustainably establish itself above $2,000 and even reach a new record high next year.
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