EUR/JPY BOUNCES OFF FEW PIPS FROM MULTI-DAY LOW, RETAKES 149.00 MARK

avatar
· Views 62


  • EUR/JPY trades with a negative bias for the third successive day, though lacks follow-through.
  • Fresh worries about a global economic downturn benefit the JPY and exert some pressure.
  • Bets for more ECB rate hikes in the coming months underpin the Euro and help limit losses.

The EUR/JPY cross drifts lower for the third successive day and drops to a multi-day low during the first half of trading action on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, recover a few pips during the early European session and bounce back to the 149.00 mark in the last hour.

Worries about a global economic downturn continue to weigh on investors' sentiment, which benefits the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and exerts some downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross. The concerns were fueled by weaker Chinese macro data, showing that the trade surplus sank to a 13-month low in May in the wake of a surprise slump in exports. This, in turn, suggested that overseas demand for Chinese goods remained weak and posed additional headwinds for the world's second-largest economy.

Apart from this, the prospect of Japanese authorities intervening in the markets might further underpin the JPY and contribute to offered tone surrounding the EUR/JPY cross. The shared currency, on the other hand, is pressured by discouraging German Industrial Production figures, French Trade Balance and French Trade Balance. That said, a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB) holds back bears from placing fresh bets around the EUR/JPY cross.

Against the backdrop of the recent hawkish comments by several ECB officials, President Christine Lagarde said earlier this week that there is no clear evidence that underlying inflation has peaked. This, in turn, reaffirms expectations that the ECB is not done raising rates despite the recent fall in consumer inflation. It is worth recalling that the headline Eurozone CPI decelerated more than anticipated, to the 6.1% YoY rate in May from the 7.0% previous and the Core CPI slowed from the 5.6% YoY rate in April to 5.3% last month.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favour of the Euro bulls and supports prospects for the emergence of fresh buying around the EUR/GBP cross. Hence, any meaningful downside is more likely to remain limited, at least for the time being.

면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.

이 글이 마음에 드시나요? 작성자에게 팁을 보내 감사의 마음을 전하세요.
댓글 0

더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.

  • tradingContest