AUD/USD PAUSES RBA-LED RALLY BELOW 0.6700 AS AUSTRALIA Q1 GDP DISAPPOINTS, CHINA TRADE DATA EYED

avatar
· Views 53


AUD/USD retreats from three-week high on downbeat Aussie economic growth figures.

Australia Q1 GDP rose 0.2%  QoQ versus 0.3% expected, 0.5% prior.

RBA’s hawkish surprise, Governor Lowe’s hints of further rate hikes keep Aussie pair buyers hopeful.

China trade numbers, risk catalysts eyed for clear directions.

AUD/USD reverses from the highest levels in three weeks after Australia’s first quarter (Q1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print downbeat outcome during early Wednesday. In doing so, the Aussie pair trims the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) led gains to 0.6675 by staying mildly bid, despite the latest fall, amid a sluggish session.


That said, Aussie Q1 GDP rose 0.2% QoQ compared to 0.5% previous readings and 0.3% market forecasts. On the same line, the yearly GDP came in as 2.3% versus the analysts’ estimation of 2.4% YoY and 2.7% previous readings.


Also read: Aussie Gross Domestic Product (Q1): Miss by 0.1% QoQ and YoY, AUD/USD in 15 pip rangesteady


It’s worth noting that RBA Governor Philip Lowe signalled further rate hikes from the Aussie central bank and propelled the five-day uptrend of the Aussie pair. That said, the policymaker said, “Some further tightening of monetary policy may be required, depending on how economy and inflation evolve.” It should be known that the RBA surprised markets for the second time in a row by announcing a 25 basis points (bps) of rate hike on Tuesday.


Also read: RBA’s Lowe: Too early to declare victory in the battle against inflation


While the Aussie GDP fails to tame the RBA-inspired optimism for the AUD/USD buyers, softer US Dollar adds strength to the pair’s upside momentum.


US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses the previous day’s corrective bounce while taking offers around 104.00, down 0.10% on a day by the press time. In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus six major currencies suffers from downbeat market bets on the Fed’s next move. That said, the interest rate futures show a nearly 15% probability of a June rate hike. The reason could be linked to downbeat United States activity data released on Monday, as well as the previously dovish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Officials ahead of the pre-Fed blackout.


Additionally favoring the AUD/USD bulls could be the cautious optimism in the markets, as portrayed by the mildly bid US stock futures and sluggish Treasury bond yields.


Having witnessed the initial market reaction to the Aussie Q1 GDP, AUD/USD pair traders should wait for China trade numbers for April for clear directions. However, the bulls are likely to keep the reins amid the latest RBA versus Fed divergence.

면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.

이 글이 마음에 드시나요? 작성자에게 팁을 보내 감사의 마음을 전하세요.
댓글 0

더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.

  • tradingContest