
布伦特原油 (Brent Oil):

布伦特原油周三收盘大幅冲高后,今日开盘涨至76.69附近,受助于对美国债务上限谈判和需求的乐观情绪,使得油价获得上行提振。
在利多数据方面,拜登和麦卡锡就尽快提高债务上限各表决心,有可能在周日达成协议。地区性银行股上涨提振了市场情绪。 Western Alliance Bancorp领涨,涨幅为10.19%。一天前该行表示,在截至5月12日的季度,存款增长超过20亿美元。此外,美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数收盘上涨1.18%、道琼指数收盘上涨1.24%及纳斯达克指数收盘上涨1.28%,受助于对就提高31.4万亿美元债务上限可能达成协议的乐观情绪及地区性银行股反弹缓解了对该行业动荡升级的担忧。周二加拿大西部艾伯塔省的林火仍在持续,导致多地的空气质量大幅下降,能见度降低,甚至一度影响了当地的石油生产。
而在利空数据方面,周三美国能源信息署EIA表示,由于战略石油储备SPR再次释放,美国商业原油库存上周意外大涨,在截至5月12日的一周里原油库存增加了504万桶至4.676亿桶。此外,国际货币基金组织IMF第一副总裁 戈皮纳特 表示,许多新兴市场的通胀居高不下或加速上升的风险很大,并敦促央行保持紧缩的货币政策。她在巴西央行主办的一次会议上表示,市场可能对降低新兴市场通胀所需采取的措施过于乐观。尽管有令人鼓舞的迹象,但担心物价压力似乎在许多经济体中根深蒂固且通胀上行风险相当大。
总而言之,油价受美国债务上限谈判、石油需求乐观情绪及美股创近两周最大百分比涨幅而令油价劲升逾3%,不过美国原油库存因SPR释放而意外大涨,限制了油价的涨势;日内重点将关注美国初请失业金人数及美联储官员讲话。
从上方压制(上方阻力) 76.60,77.00;从下行方向看,下方支撑76.20。

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