GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAU/USD EASES BELOW $2,050 HURDLE AHEAD OF US INFLATION – CONFLUENCE DETECTOR

avatar
· Views 103


Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to defend its three-week uptrend as US inflation data looms. Also challenging the XAU/USD buyers are the mixed concerns about the US default and banking fallouts, as well as the market’s disbelief in the hawkish Fed talks and recently downbeat US data. Above all, the precious metal’s traditional risk-safety allure joins the US Dollar’s retreat to keep the Gold buyers despite the latest corrective move.

Apart from the US inflation data, progress on the US debt ceiling negotiations will also be crucial to watch for the Gold traders, especially amid the first failure to seal the deal and Moody’s concerns citing a “real” threat of default. Meanwhile, optimism surrounding Asia, one of the biggest customers of Gold, joins the mildly bid equities to underpin the XAU/USD run-up.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD could retake $2,050 and beyond on soft United States inflation data

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

As per our Technical Confluence Indicator, the Gold price justifies the failure to cross the $2,050 hurdle while printing the first daily loss in three. That said, the upper band of the Bollinger on the daily chart joins Pivot Point one-day R2 and the previous monthly high to cite the aforementioned level as an important upside hurdle for the XAU/USD.

It’s worth noting that the latest Gold price retreat needs validation from the $2,025 support confluence including Fibonacci 23.6% on one month, Fibonacci 61.8% on one-day and the lower band of the Bollinger on hourly chart.

Should the Gold price drops below $2,025 key support, it can quickly drop to $2,010 level comprising the Fibonacci 38.2% on monthly, Pivot Point one-day S2 and 10-DMA, a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge the $2,000 round figure.

Alternatively, 5-DMA joins Fibonacci 23.6% on one-day to guard the immediate upside of the Gold price near $2,035, a break of which could direct the Gold price toward the s$2,045 hurdle including the Pivot Point one-month R1.

Following that, the all-important $2,050 resistance confluence, including upper band of the Bollinger on one-day, Pivot Point one-day R2 and previous monthly high, will be the key to watch for the Gold buyers.

In a case where the Gold price remains firmer past $2,050, the recently reported all-time high of around $2,080 will be in the spotlight.

면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.

이 글이 마음에 드시나요? 작성자에게 팁을 보내 감사의 마음을 전하세요.
댓글 0

더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.

  • tradingContest