In the view of UOB Group’s Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Senior FX Strategist Peter Chia, USD/CNH could see its upside gather extra impulse on a breakout of the 6.9350 level.
24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that USD ‘could retest the 6.9100 level before a more sustained pullback is likely’. However, USD traded in a relatively quiet manner between 6.8745 and 6.9026. The price actions appear to be part of a consolidation and today, we expect USD to trade in a range of 6.8700/6.9000.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “Our update from yesterday (20 Apr, spot at 6.8920) still stands. As highlighted, upward momentum is beginning to improve but USD has to break and stay above 6.9350 before a sustained rise is likely. The chance of USD breaking clearly above 6.9350 is not high for now but it will remain intact as long as the ‘strong support’ level at 6.8600 is not taken out in the next few days."
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