GBP/USD PRICE ANALYSIS: GATHERS STRENGTH FOR A BREAKOUT OF FALLING CHANNEL ABOVE 1.2460

The GBP/USD pair has rebounded to near 1.2430 in the early Asian session after defending the round-level support of 1.2400. The Cable is gathering strength for extending its rally amid an upbeat market mood ahead of the release of the United States inflation. An absence of anxiety among investors ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicates that investors have digested expectations of consecutive 25 basis points (bps) rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Despite knowing the fact that Wednesday’s inflation data carries higher value as it will be the last inflation data before May’s monetary policy meeting, investors are hammering the US Dollar Index. The USD Index has turned sideways after a corrective move from 102.30 and is expected to test the critical support of 102.00.

Apart from the US inflation data, the speech from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey will be keenly watched. BoE Bailey is expected to provide guidance about the likely monetary policy action ahead. A hawkish guidance is expected from BoE Bailey amid an absence of evidence of United Kingdom inflation softening.

GBP/USD is gathering strength to deliver a breakout of the Falling Channel formed on an hourly scale. The Cable is hovering near the edge of the upper portion of the aforementioned chart pattern. The asset looks confident above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2420 as it indicates that the short-term trend is bullish.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is eyeing a decisive break above 60.00 for activation of the bullish momentum.

For an upside move, the Cable needs to surpass April 11 high at 1.2457, which will trigger short coverings and will drive the major toward the psychological resistance of 1.2500 followed by April 04 high at 1.2525.

On the flip side, a break below the round-level support of 1.2400 will expose the asset to April 10 low at 1.2344 and March 30 low at 1.2294.