US bond yield fall as investors expect a less hawkish Fed

Wall Street is trading with solid gains after the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen rattled investors after saying that the United States (US) government is not planning to introduce blanket insurance to all depositors. Contrarily, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the banking system is solid after the Fed took steps to provide liquidity to the markets.

Unemployment claims for the week ending on March 18 fell by 1,000, warranting further tightening by the Fed amidst a tight labor market. The US Department of Labor (DoL) revealed that 191,000 Americans filled for aid after being laid off, contrary to the expected jump of 201,000 as reported by the consensus. At the same time, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for February plunged to -0.19 vs. the prior’s month 0.23

Consequently, US Treasury bond yields continue to fall, weighed by investors expecting an additional rate hike by the Fed and then a pause. The 2-year bond yield dropped to 3.90%, down one bps, while the 10-year bond yield climbed to 3.464%. That undermined the greenback, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling 0.33% at 102.187.

On the Mexican front, Retail Sales in January jumped 1.6% from December, as the national statistics agency (INEGI) reported. Annually based, sales rose 5.3%.

Additionally, Mid-month inflation for March rose 0.15% MoM, less than estimates of 0.28%, while the YoY reading decelerated to 7.12%, from the prior’s 7.76%. Core inflation on its annual and monthly readings was unchanged for the same period.