US DOLLAR MOVES IN ON WEEKLY SUPPORT, M-FORMATION HINDERS BEARISH OUTLOOK

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  • US Dollar on its knees after the Fed dovish hike. 
  • The Weekly M-formation could hamstring the downside. 

Federal Reserve hikes rates by 25 bps, as expected but the Fed statement deleted reference to 'ongoing increases' in rates. Ahead of the decision, the money markets were pricing in a year-end target rate of 4.36%. This has dropped in volatile reactions to the statement to 4.26%.

In the Fed's statement, the members of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) suggested it was on the verge of pausing future hikes in view of the recent turmoil in the financial sector. however, Jerome Powell vowed to commit to reining in inflation. 

On top of that, we had hawkish comments by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Wednesday that gave the Euro a boost when she said the ECB would take a "robust" approach to inflation risks.

Specifically, ECB President Lagarde said, "we do not see clear evidence that underlying inflation is trending downwards," and the ECB will take a "robust" approach that allows it to respond to inflation risks as needed but also aid financial markets if threats emerge.

Consequently, the US 2-year Treasury yields were dropping from 4.259% on the day to print a low of 3.958%. Consequently, the US Dollar index, DXY, fell to a low of 102.065 from a high of 103.265.

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