EUR/CHF PRICE ANALYSIS: DOUBLE BOTTOM REVERSAL ACTIVATES AS CREDIT SUISSE’S FIASCO CONTINUES

The EUR/CHF pair is displaying a back-and-forth action around 0.9860 in the early European session. The cross has turned sideways after a perpendicular upside move and is expected to continue its upside momentum as the debacle of Credit Suisse is stretching further.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has promised an advance of 50bln Swiss Francs to Credit Suisse to support liquidity. However, the commentary from Credit Suisse chairman Axel Lehmann that state assistance "isn't a topic" for the bank as it seeks to recover from a string of scandals that have undermined the confidence of investors and clients indicates that the impact will be huge going forward.

Meanwhile, investors are keenly awaiting the interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to continue its 50 basis points (bps) rate hike spell as Eurozone’s inflation is extremely stubborn.

EUR/CHF has delivered a break above the critical resistance plotted from March 13 high at 0.9834 on an hourly scale. This has activated the formation of a Double Bottom chart pattern and has cemented a bullish reversal.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9839 might continue to provide support to the Euro bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates more upside ahead.

Should the asset delivers a mean-reversion to the 20-EMA near 0.9839, a bargain buying opportunity will be triggered, which will drive the cross toward the round-level resistance at 0.9900, followed by October 27 high at 0.9955.

In an alternate scenario, a downside break below March 15 low at 0.9706 will drag the asset toward October 12 low at 0.9643 and September 13 low at 0.9584.