The Chinese economy has struggled since the COVID-19 virus mutated into the more contagious Omicron variant at the end of 2021. Economists at Danske bank expect China to continue struggling.
Low inflation leaves room for policy stimulus
“China faces three strong headwinds from a) zero-Covid policy, b) property crisis and c) fading exports as the US and Europe head for recession.”
“Growth is set to stay below trend in the coming quarters before recovering in the second half of 2023, where we look for an end to the zero-Covid policy. We look for GDP growth at 3.3% in 2022 rising to 4.9% in 2023 and 5.3% in 2024.”
“Inflation remains low in a global perspective, leaving room for continued stimulus. We look for measures to ease the property crisis to be stepped up.”
“The US-China rivalry continues at unabated pace and China faces challenges from new significant US tech export restrictions.”
면책 조항: 본 게시글에 표현된 견해는 전적으로 작성자의 견해이며 Followme의 공식 입장을 대변하지 않습니다. Followme는 제공된 정보의 정확성, 완전성 또는 신뢰성에 대해 책임을 지지 않으며, 서면으로 명시적으로 언급되지 않는 한 해당 내용을 기반으로 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다.
더 오래된 의견은 없습니다. 소파를 가장 먼저 잡으십시오.