(DAILY NOTION) EUR/USD Possible Soared Above 1.2200, Next Mover: ECB Rate Decision

Illustration photo of EUR/USD daily chart from Tradingview

The EUR/USD is rising ahead of the ECB interest rate decision and the U.S. jobless claims numbers that will be released in the afternoon session. The EUR/USD is trading at 1.2130, which is slightly higher than yesterday’s low of 1.2050.

The biggest mover today will be the first ECB rate decision of the year. The bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged and possibly sound a bit dovish in its bid to continue devaluing the euro. Also, the ECB will leave its target for the pandemic quantitative easing program intact at 1.35 trillion euros.

The EUR/USD will also react to important economic numbers from the U.S. The BLS will publish the first jobless claims numbers during the Biden presidency. These numbers are expected to show that more people applied for jobless claims last week. That’s because of the recent lockdowns and the fact that the recent stimulus package encouraged more people to sign for claims. We will also receive the housing starts and building permits numbers today.

On the daily chart, we see that the EUR/USD formed a Doji pattern on Monday, leading to more gains in the past three days. Still, the pair remains below the 25-day and 15-day weighted moving averages. Therefore, despite the recent gains, we believe that the pair will resume the downward trend, with the next level to watch being Monday’s low of 1.2050. However, in the case of a hawkish ECB, the pair will possibly soar to 1.2200.

FOLLOWME EUR/USD Overall Sentiment (As of 03:27 p.m., Jan 21, 2021),

Short - 45.29%

Long - 54.71%

For information please refer to Crispus Nyaga.